Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Initial Election Results


israel polls

LIVE: Initial Election Results – Who Won, Who Lost…By:

March 17th, 2015



Here are the initial Exit Poll results from the 2015 elections for the 20th Knesset in Israel: These are not final numbers, which can still change by the morning.  The configuration options assume that everyone goes with their natural partners. Other options is a National Unity government, or that some parties switch sides from their natural partners for a better offer.
10:01 PM/Side by side comparison of the exit poll results:
Channel1021Walla!
Party
Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni):27272727
Likud (Netanyahu):27282727
The Joint (Arab) List:13131213
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):8898
Yesh Atid (Lapid):11121212
Kulanu (Kachlon):1091010
UTJ (Gafni / Litzman):7666
Shas (Deri):7777
Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):5555
Meretz (Gal-On):5555
Yachad (Eli Yishai):0000

Walla!
Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni):27
Likud (Netanyahu):27
The Joint (Arab) List:13
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):8
Yesh Atid (Lapid):12
Kulanu (Kachlon):10
UTJ (Gafni / Litzman):6
Shas (Deri):7
Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):5
Meretz (Gal-On):5
Yachad (Eli Yishai):0
Possible configurations (Walla!):
OPTION 1
LEFT: Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 57
RIGHT Likud (Netanyahu):  27 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 10 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 6 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 63
OPTION 2 (It all depends on Kachlon
LEFT (Option 2): Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 10 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 67
RIGHT (Option 2) Likud (Netanyahu):  27 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 6 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 53
 Channel 2
Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni):27
Likud (Netanyahu):28
The Joint (Arab) List:13
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):8
Yesh Atid (Lapid):12
Kulanu (Kachlon):9
UTJ (Gafni / Litzman):6
Shas (Deri):7
Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):5
Meretz (Gal-On):5
Yachad (Eli Yishai):0
Possible configurations (Channel 2):
OPTION 1
LEFT: Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 57
RIGHT Likud (Netanyahu):  28 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 9 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 6 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 63
OPTION 2 (It all depends on Kachlon)
LEFT (Option 2): Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 9 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 12 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 66
RIGHT (Option 2) Likud (Netanyahu):  28 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 6 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 54
Channel 10 
Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni):27
Likud (Netanyahu):27
The Joint (Arab) List:13
Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):8
Yesh Atid (Lapid):11
Kulanu (Kachlon):10
UTJ (Gafni / Litzman):7
Shas (Deri):7
Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):5
Meretz (Gal-On):5
Yachad (Eli Yishai):0
Possible configurations (Channel 10):
OPTION 1
LEFT: Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 11 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 56
RIGHT Likud (Netanyahu):  27 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 10 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 64
OPTION 2 (It all depends on Kachlon)
LEFT (Option 2): Labor/Zionist Union (Herzog / Livni): 27 + The Joint (Arab) List: 13 + Kulanu (Kachlon): 10 + Yesh Atid (Lapid): 11 + Meretz (Gal-On): 5 = 66
RIGHT (Option 2) Likud (Netanyahu):  27 + Bayit Yehudi (Bennett):  8 + UTJ (Gafni / Litzman): 7 + Shas (Deri): 7 + Yisrael Beyteynu (Liberman):  5 + Yachad (Eli Yishai):  0 = 54

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